# Lemonade ($LMND)

[4Q 2023 Shareholder Letter](https://s24.q4cdn.com/139015699/files/doc_financials/2023/q4/Q4_2023_SHL_FINAL.pdf)

• [$LMND Stock Thesis in 20 Minutes](< https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7FfxYUvh81Q>)

• \~70m shares outstanding (low share count).

• Ended Q3 and Q4 2023 with $945 cash and investments.

• Europe is becoming an increasingly important part of the business. Lemonade will be an international insurance company.

• In Force Premium (IFP) and Customer Count (CC) continues to rise while Gross Loss Ratio (GLR) continues to fall.

• Use of AI is central to the benevolent cycle that improves the strength of the business over time. From the 4Q 2023 Shareholder Letter, page 10: "This composite AI harnesses some 50 machine learning models to predict, for each customer, their lifetime value, or LTV, in net present dollar terms."

• Doubling their growth budget is expected to increase IFP by 50%.

• Guiding for 25% CAGR.

• Company should be cash flow positive 4Q-2024 and profitable by mid 2026.

• Expected cash burn between now and when the company is cash flow positive (\~mid 2025) is $90m.


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